Elected Fellow of the European Economic Association 
 

Welcome to the Home Page of

 


ASSAF RAZIN

Raffi Lavie

Shraga WeilRafi Peretz

   

 

 

Avivit Balas

Avivit Ballas- Baranes

                                                                         

Vitae and Bio

 

 

Assaf Razin at 60 (link)

Assaf Razin at 80 (link)

Assaf Razin and Friends (images)

Guru of Globalization (link) #

Sun rising in the West (link, link1, link 2)

Personal history (link)

Short vita (short cv, pdf), Detailed Curriculum Vitae (word, pdf) , Bio (English Bio word,English bio pdfrazinbiojune2009.pdf, Bio Hebrew (word,Pdf); Citations (google scholar), (SSRN abstracts, downloads). Amazon Books (link), MIT Press Books (link) Books (link)

Uncovering the mystery of Assaf: The movie --- video (link))

# Lea Nikelhttps://bidspirit-images.global.ssl.fastly.net/tiroche/cloned-images/96923/004/a_ignore_q_80_w_1000_c_limit_004.jpg
 
 

Research Blogs (link), VOX--CEPR Policy Portal (link), Israeli Press (link), Citations (link)

Lea Nikel

Haim Kiewe Uri Lifshitz

My early work on Endogenous Growth of output and population

HISTORY of the Theory of Economic Growth in the Making

1. Human Capital Accumulation and Endogenous Growth (Razin, Metroeconomica 1972)

Content for New section Tag Goes Here

2. Human Capital Accumulation and Technological Change (Razin,link, Review of Economic Studies 1973)

3.  Intergenerational Model of Population Growth (Razin and Ben-zion, American Economic Review 1975 (link)

4. Education and Growth (link)

5. Mystery of Growth (Book review, 2006, Helpman's Book Download (link, about the author))

Population Economics

by Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka

Naftali Bezem


Game Theory Graphic Book Featuring my son Ronny Razin (link)

Meir Lazar



 
 

Overviews

International Tax Reforms (Cepr Vox)

Shahaf Kantor

Commercial Policy, Employed to Curb Trade Imbalances: Revisiting Decades-Old Literature (Blog)

Theory of financial Crises (blog)

Euro: Merits and Pitfalls {ppt) (pdff) (podcast)

Import Tariff and Trade Balance (vox lacea)

Political Economy of Migration-Dynamics (Vox Cepr)

Tax Competition and Tax Coordination (Vox Cepr)

Free vs Controled Immigration_ EU Data (Vox Cepr)

Israel's Immigration Story (Vox Cepr)

Theories of Financial Crisis (Vox Cepr)

Migration and the Welfare State: US vs EU (Vox Cepr)

Ageing and Welfare Migration (Vox Cepr)

Creditor Protection and Crises (Vox Cepr)

Capital Income Refom Committee Report (Hebrew)

Review of Theories of Financial Crises (pdf) (word) (slides)

Migration and the Welfare State: Dynamic Political-economy Theory (tex, pdf)

Migration and the welfare state: Agenda for Research(text, references , abstract)

Wages in the Health Sector in Israel (pdf)

Israel Higher Education (IsER)


Monetary Policy and Potential Output
(word) Fiscal Policy (cesifo

Cuurent Account Sustainability (link)

Globalization and Disinflation (link)

 

 

 

Capital  Flow Reversals-- NBER Research Profile-1

FDI Flows: A Critical View--
NBER Research Profile-2
empirics

Nahum Gutman


1980s' Israel Economy: Inflation, Taxation, and Pensions (Hebrew)

Israel High-inflation 1980s in newspaper op-ed columns:

 

the book table of contents

 

Israel Economic Review (link)

A bit of Policy advice-- partial chronology ( link)

Pension Reform (doc)

Taxation: Report of the Tax Reform Committee ,

Israel Medical Doctors Wages (report, appendix)

 

  Pincas Litvinovsky

 

HiMarcel Janko

gher Education (Andreu Mas-Colell)

Capital Mobility and International Taxation, 1(PDF File, figure), 2 (PDF File

International Tax Equivalencies - Exposition

International Trade and International Migration

Milton Friedman (hebrew

  An Old Tree in Mount Tabor

Rivoon L'Calcala--historical view (link1, link 2)

Welfare state economics (hebrew slide 1, hebrew slide 2)

Newspaper Articles

Calcalist (link)

globes (link)

Politization of Education (link)

Tax Policy Turnaround (docx)

Defense Budget (link)

Israeli awakening (docx, pdf) (link)(1, 2, 3) (1990)

Selection from The Marker (link)

Two Macroeconomics Camps (Calcalist, 2010)

Treasury Secretary circa 2009 (Haaretz)

The Kibbutz Pension Crisis (calcalist) (video)

Brain Drain (html)
 A Tax on Returning Israelies

Finance Minister,more

The Spring 2003 Economic Program

An Economic Road Map

The longest recession

Privatizing a Kibbutz (word, stockmarket, article) (quasi-social security)
 

Privatized Medical Service

BUDGET AND PENSION REFORMS (Doc

New Bank-of-Israel Law (doc

Bank of Israel and Accountants behind  a "Nominal Reform",link

New Law About Consumer Creditworthiness Information, link

Globalization and the Arab Sector

Emerging Palestinian economy? (word, new book, WB Report, a 2004 book)

Newspaper clips (link)



Leo Roth

family biography(hebrew) (pictures) ( Personal Gallery)

Ofer Razin, My Late Son

Memories (link) Bio (link)

Ofer Razin Hall In Tel Aviv University,

Georgetown University's the Ofer Razin Lecture series (history)

The 2003 Lecture, 1, 2, 3, 4,  page 12 The 2007 Award Ceremony

Ofer Razin Ph.D dissertation:published in -Economics of Globalization: Policy Perspectives From Public Economics, (1999) ,Assaf Razin And Efraim Sadka (eds)) (Publisher's Release) Cambridge University Press,(Real Exchange-Rate Misalignments and Growth, by Ofair Razin and Susan M. Collins)
 
 

Ancient Chinese Artifact (Fabricated?)

 


Videos for kids:

Basic Economic Concepts: Videos

(Assaf Razin's Hebrew Videos ) (youtube videos) (Welfare state, link)) (Migration and the welfare state)

 

I. UNDERGRADUATE OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMICS

Syllabus

Neoclassical approach (pdf)
International Indicators (bop, ER, etc)
Introduction, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch12, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch13
Balance-of-Payments Accounting (ppt)
1.Flexible Exchange Rate: Exogenous Output, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch14
2.Flexible Exchange Rate: Endogenous Output, Krugman-Obstfeld--ch15Krugman-Obstfeld Ch 15Krugman-Obstfeld Ch 15, krugmanobstfeldch16.pp
3.Fixed Exchange Rate,krugmanobstfeldch17.pp , Impossible Trinity
4.Flexible vs Fixed Exchange Rate Systems, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch19
5. International Debt Crisis:a,
  b, c, d
6. Balance of Payments Dynamics

7. ppp and exchange rates in the short and the long run (pdf)

7. Why the Dollar Falls: An Intertemporal Adjustment (word)

7. Optimum Currency Areas, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch20 Krugman on EMU (text, slides)

8. International Capital Markets (Krugman-Obstfeld ch 21, Appendix)

9. Financial Crises, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch22

Homework1, Homework2, Homework 3,

10. The International Monetary System

 11. Optimum Currency Areas

12. Developing Countries: Crises and Reforms

 13. The Global Capital Markets , International capital market (Krugman-Obstfeld Ch 21 ) (The US Deficit)

 UNDERGRADUATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE

syllabus,

Migration (video)

Introduction-Krugman-Obstfeld-ch1
1.The Ricardian Model with Two Goods,Krugman-Obstfeld-ch2
2. The Ricardian Model with a Continuum of Goods:a,
b,
3.Specific Factors and Income Distribution, Krugman-obstfeld-ch3

3.Relative Supply of Factors and   Comparative Advantage,a,
b , c, Krugman-obstfeld-ch4
4.Economies of Scale and International Trade,a,
b , Krugman-obstfeld-ch6
5.International Trade Policy, a,
b, Krugman-Obstfeld-ch8
6. Optimum tariff , Krugman-Obstfeld-ch9
Krugman-Obstfeld-ch10
Krugman-Obstfeld-ch11

7. International Debt Crisis:a,
  b, c,

Globalization (word)

Doha Trade Round (Doha Trade Round) (Farm Subsidies)
  (Boeing vs Airbus, Airbus vs Boeing)
 

Homework1,Homework2, Homework3,Homework4,Homework5

Homework 6

7. International Factor Movements

8.Trade Policies: Developing Countries
video

 


 

 

 

Menashe Kadishman

II. A Graduate Course in  International Trade and Foreign Investment

Syllabus


i. International Trade


1. Introduction
(ppt)


2. Intra-industry Heterogeneity with Fixed Costs of Exporting: The Melitz Model
(2003) (notes)

3. Intra-industry Heterogeneity and Bertrand Competition: Bernard,
Eaton, Jensen, and Kortum (2003),
a. The Eaton-Kortum Model (notes1, notes2)
b. Sources of Comparative Advantage
(notes, slides) Trade (text),
c. The Alvarez-Lucas Calibration (notes)
4. Gene M. Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg Outsourcing Model (notes)

5. complementarity between trade in goods and trade in assets (ppt)

ii. Foreign Direct Investment


1. Liquidity Crunch and FDI (notes)
2. Heckman Econometrics in the Razin-Sadka FDI Book(text) (notes)
3. Tax and Productivity as Drivers of FDI (notes, powerpoint, pdf)
4. Tax Competition and FDI (Notes, slides)
This part is Based on the Razin - Sadka Book: Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows
(Princeton University Press, 2007)

5. Fire Sale FDI (slides)

iii. Dynamics of Capital Flows


1. Introduction
a. Complete vs. Incomplete Capital Markets (Helpman and Razin Ch 3)
b. Dynamic model of Trade in Goods and Assets (Helpman and Razin Ch 11)


2. New Models of Capital Flows

a. The Pavlova and Rigobon Model
(paper, slides)
b. Devereux and Southerland Model (notes, slides)
c. The Tille and van Wincoop Model (paper, slides)
d. The Caballero and Krishnamurty Micotrade Model: Flight for Quality Model (notes, slides)

e. Trade and Financial Frictions (Antras and Caballero)

III. The 1990s Graduate Course in International Trade
1.Gains from Trade

2.Factor Proportions and the Structure of Trade (ppt)
3.Complete and Incomplete Capital Markets
4.Dynamics of International Trade
5.Lobbying and Tariffs
6.Trade in Capital Goods
7.International Migration
8.Balance Sheets Effects and the Real Exchange Rate
9.Home-Bias Portfolio and the Saving-Investment Correlations

10. The Eaton-Kortum Model (pdf) (word), Sources of Comparative Advantage (slides, text) Trade (pdf)

11. The Alvarez-Lucas Calibration (doc)

12. Pol Antras Lecture Notes

13. Gene M. Grossman and
Esteban Rossi-Hansberg notes (outsourcing, slides)

Naftali Bezem

 

 

 

Random Events in Pictures

Bat Mitsva (link 1, link 2)

Karl Marx, Friedriech Engels, and Me -The philosopher's point is to change the world; not simply to interpret it! (link)

Nelson Mandela and Me

Mt. Tabor 2004
 

Stockholm 1980:International Trade Group

Berlin 2004

Tel Aviv 2004
 

Munich Pinakotheka

Ottawa 2003

NYU

2 of my Tel Aviv University Colleagues a b

Seward (Lincoln's secretary of state) home (a, b)

Valleta (Malta) harbour 2011 (jpg)

Delfi, Greece 2015 (1, 2)

Warwick UK (link)

with Carl Christian von Weizsaecker (link)

Pincas Litvinovsky

 

 

My family website

My 4 years old grandson Iddo Razin, 2004

I

4

Ruth Schloss

Avner Bengal

Yair Garbouz

Ezekiel Shtreichman

Aviva Ori

Moshe Cagan


 

Bethy Rubinstein

Menashe Kadishman Neeve Razin, 2021

Preface

In the contemporary arena of political discourse, the transition from liberal democracy to its illiberal counterpart has become a focal point of academic discussion. Notable instances in Hungary, Poland, Turkey, and the attempted judicial overhaul in Israel serve as poignant examples, shedding light on the gradual erosion of democratic principles.

While scholarly attention has predominantly focused on the political dimensions of these shifts, the multifaceted economic aspects remain relatively unexplored within the literature. Through a collection of essays, we aim to delve into the economic structural changes that coincide with this pivotal shift.

This e-book endeavors to address this gap by offering an early and insightful examination of the economic transformations accompanying the transition from liberal democracy to illiberal democracy, and their drivers.

The transition to illiberal democracy is a concern in the countries the book deals with - Hungary, Poland, and Israel. But it is also a grave concern in the US and in India, and Mexico. Mexico is furthest along the illiberal track. Instances like Brexit in the United Kingdom, the world's oldest democracy, highlight how populist based economic policy can imperil liberal democracy. In Israel as in Poland (especially after the recent election), there is at least a basis for believing the crisis is receding. To many, the upcoming November 2024 US is the most concerning given its democracy leading global position. So far, the judicial weakening has come about mostly with

the politicization of the appointment of justices to the courts. It is spreading to more and more issues and more and more courts.

The essays contained herein explore the various political drivers behind these transitions, including economic disparities, identity politics, the influence of social media and echo chambers, educational quality discrepancies, and disparities in access to societal and financial institutions. Moreover, the book delves into the ramifications of anti-democratic forces on economic growth, examining their impact on areas such as social media dynamics, educational quality, foreign direct investment, the hi-tech industry, and entrepreneurship. Essays authored by scholars with intimate knowledge and expertise in their respective fields, including Itai Ater, Dan Ben-David, Barry Eichengreen, Ayal Kimhi, Itzchak Tzachi Raz, Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, Yannay Spitzer, Adam Szeidl, Ferenc Szucs, Eran Yashiv, and Noam Yuchtman, this collection offers a comprehensive exploration of the economic dimensions of democratic erosion.

I extend my gratitude to my colleague, Haim Ben Shahar, whose insights were instrumental in shaping the intellectual inception of this e-book project. I am thankful to Anne Kruger comments on an earlier draft. Additionally, I acknowledge Nir Lavee for his invaluable editorial assistance.

Assaf Razin

February 24, 2024

 DISTINCTIONS

 


2017 Emet Prize In Economics: Jerusalem Post reports.pixsHebrew press

IEA (International Economic Association) Fellow award for 2022

1994 - Fellow of the Econometric Society

!995- Fellow of the European Economic Socity

2023 - Research.com Economics and Finance in Israel Leader Award

2022 - Research.com Economics and Finance in Israel Leader Award

1990 Elected Fellow of the European Economic Association

2023 - Research.com Economics and Finance in Israel Leader Award

2022 - Research.com Economics and Finance in Israel Leader Award

 

Well-Cited Articles

Effective Tax Rates in Macroeconomics: Cross-Country Estimates of Tax Rates on Factor Incomes and Consumption

Enrique Mendoza;Assaf Razin;Linda Tesar.
Research Papers in Economics (1994)

1863 Citations

Fiscal Policies in the World Economy

Jacob A. Frenkel;Assaf Razin.
Journal of Political Economy (1986)

1288 Citations

Fiscal policies and growth in the world economy

Jacob Frenkel;assaf razin;chi-wa Yuen.
MIT Press Books (1996)

1018 Citations

Fiscal policies and growth in the world economy

Jacob Frenkel;assaf razin;chi-wa Yuen.
MIT Press Books (1996)

992 Citations

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises; Empirical Regularities

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti;Assaf Razin.
Research Papers in Economics (1998)

736 Citations

The Terms of Trade and the Current Account: The Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Effect

Lars E. O. Svensson;Assaf Razin.
Journal of Political Economy (1983)

732 Citations

Sustainability of Persistent Current Account Deficits

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett;Assaf Razin.
Research Papers in Economics (1996)

518 Citations

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises: Empirical Regularities

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett;Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett;Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett;Assaf Razin.
Social Science Research Network (1998)

444 Citations

International tax competition and gains from tax harmonization

Assaf Razin;Efraim Sadka.
Economics Letters (1991)

442 Citations

Current-Account Sustainability

Assaf Razin;Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti.
(1996)

441 Citations

 

 WORKS ON  FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: ANALYSIS OF AGGREGATE FLOWS: CO-AUTHORED WITH EFRAIM SADKA, THIS BOOK PROVIDES A COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS INFLUENCING FDI AND ITS ECONOMIC IMPACTS. UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL CRISES: AN EMERGING PARADIGM: THIS BOOK EXPLORES THE ROLE OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION, INCLUDING FDI, IN FINANCIAL CRISES AND ECONOMIC STABILITY. INTERNATIONAL TAXATION IN AN INTEGRATED WORLD: THIS WORK EXAMINES HOW INTERNATIONAL TAX POLICIES INFLUENCE FDI AND THE IMPLICATIONS FOR GLOBAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION.


 

Avner Bengal bengal

Affiliations

Fellow of the Econometric Socity

Former President of Israel Economic Association

NBER Research Associate;

CEPR Reseasrch Fellow;

 
CES-ifo Research Fellow; IZA research Fellow. 

Eitan Berglas School of Economics, 
Tel Aviv University,  Tel Aviv 69978 ISRAEL 
Office Telephone: 972-3-640-7303,  mobile: 972 58 7900033
Fax: 972-3-642-8074, or 972-3-640-9908 (Office) 972-3-641-4475 (Home), 
e-mail: razin@tauex.tau.ac.il,  
ar256@cornell.edu, Home Page: http://www.tau.ac.il/~razin

Amos Keinan
 

 

Arie Lubin

Yom Kippur

 

-Kol Nidrei, song

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yspXvbBPrXc
Yair Rosenblum composition of נתנה תוקף, a Byzantine- period text(פיוט), which is discovered in the Cairo Genizah–The collection of some 400,000 Jewish manuscript fragments and Fatimid administrative documents that were found in the genizah or storeroom of the Ben Ezra Synagogue in Fustat or Old Cairo, Egypt. The centuries- (or millennial-) old text caught the eyes of Yair Rosenblum. He lived at the time in Kibbutz Beit Hashita — a small community in Jezreel Valley, which lost 11 of its sons in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. Yair put new life to the old text, and his composition became a memorial hymn. After is death, Yair Rosenblum was buried near my son OFER's grave, in another small community, Kibbutz Einat, near my son OFER grave.
Leonard Cohen, who visited the front during the Yom Kippur War, rephrased the old prayer נתנה תוקף:
"And who by fire, who by water
Who in the sunshine, who in the night time
Who by high ordeal, who by common trial
Who in your merry merry month of may
Who by very slow decay
And who shall I say is calling?
And who in her lonely slip, who by barbiturate
Who in these realms of love, who by something blunt
Who by avalanche, who by powder
Who for his greed, who for his hunger
And who shall I say is calling?
It became known in the entire world.

Avner Bengal

 

New:

The Transition from Liberal Democracy to Illiberal Democracy: Multifaceted Economic Shifts
Assaf Razin
(Editor)

2024

 

Globalization, Migration, and Welfare State

Understanding the Macroeconomic Trifecta

Author: Razin, Assaf

This book is about three key dimensions in economics—globalization, migration and the welfare state—that are of enduring interest. These issues are particularly important to consider at the present moment given the strains posed by the pandemic: there is at least a temporary setback to trade-globalization and migration, and the cost of fighting the pandemic will strain the ability of governments to provide welfare state services in a style and scope to which many of their citizens have become accustomed. The book explains the changing function of the welfare state in the presence of intensified globalization, or de-globalization, forces. The welfare state’s policy-maker attitudes toward openness and migration depend on open-economy fundamentals, and the income class it represents. The author demonstrates the interactions between migration, globalization and macroeconomic policy in practice, using real-world unique episodes, with Israel deemed as well-functioning trifecta, and the US and Europe as imperfectly functioning trifecta. 

TEXT PDF

Book Review: Giovanni Facchini (link)

Israel and the World Economy: Power of Globalization

Anti-globalization sentiment is growing, especially in Europe and the United States, with the increasingly integrated global economy blamed for domestic economic distress. I show that Israel offers a counterexample to this view, by demonstrating the decisively positive economic effects of globalized finance, trade and immigration. The emerging market economies such as China, Vietnam, India and Indonesia abandoned autarky in favor of export-led growth in the mid-1980s. Suddenly, and with little warning, more than a third of the world’s population joined the postwar globalization parade, powerfully effecting global demand everywhere, including Israel. Israel has significantly pivoted its trade to the emerging East Asian markets.

What's the book about

Slides

Endorsements:

Israel's economic experience contains many highly relevant lessons: how to tame inflation, how to absorb immigrants, how to make the transition to high-tech, and now how to cure the Dutch Disease. There can be no better guide than Assaf Razin to lead us through this wilderness.

(Barry Eichengreen,, University of California, Berkeley)

Many countries struggle to adapt to the forces of globalization. Some turn their backs on globalization and listen to the sirens of protectionists. In this book, Assaf Razin shows how Israel did the opposite and used globalization to its advantage. It makes for fascinating reading.

(Paul De Grauwe, London School of Economics)

 

Israel and the World Economy:The Power of Globalization

Public Lecture (video)

Hebrew Parts (pdf)

Slides (Powerpoint) (pdf)
Figures

Interview (hebrew)


A rigorous analysis of the role played by globalization in key episodes in the development of the Israeli economy, from hyperinflation crisis to high-tech surge.

Anti-globalization sentiments are rising, especially in Europe and the United States, with the increasingly integrated global economy blamed for domestic economic distress. In this book, Assaf Razin argues that Israel offers a counterexample to this view, showing decisively positive economic effects of globalized finance, trade, and immigration. He offers a rigorous analysis of the role played by globalization in key episodes in the remarkable development of the Israeli economy. His findings may hold lessons for productivity-challenged advanced economies as well as for other countries such as China currently making the transition to fully developed economies.

I examine the wave of immigration after the collapse of the Soviet Union, as highly skilled Soviet Jews migrated to Israel and the effect on income inequality; the Great Moderation of inflation and employment in advanced economies, as Israel's inflation converged in parallel with low world inflation rates; Israel's robustness in the face of the deflation shocks of the 2008 financial crisis; and technology transmission through foreign direct investment, reinforcing Israel's high-tech sector surge. He also considers such ongoing challenges as high fertility and low labor market participation and the economic costs of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Book Reviews

Book Reviews:
Laura Alfaro, Israel Economic Review Vol. 15, No. 1 (2018), 111-115
http://www.boi.org.il/en/Research/Periodicals/Documents/volume%2015.1/פרק%205 .pdf

 

 Asaf Zussman, Israel Economic Review Vol. 15, No. 1 (2018), 107-109
 http://www.boi.org.il/en/Research/Periodicals/Documents/volume%2015.1/פרק%204 .pdf

 

David Rodman in Israel Affairs

Phillip Swagel, FINANCE & DEVELOPMENT | December 2018
(link)


 
uri Lifshitz

Assaf Volume I: The first 70 years

A BIOGRAPHY in COMICS (link) -------------------------------

Assaf Razin's life stroy is one of extremes. It follows Assaf rom the Kibutz to the city, from Israel to different parts of the world, from his childhood in the nursery bed of socialism, to the Economics Department in Chicago University, the cradle of intellectual capitilism. Our hero persues a stelar carreer and personal acheivements while withstanding rather dramatic personal events.

Menashe Kadishman

 

Published

E-books by Assaf Razin (link)

Jankel Adler

 

 

 

Talk at Warwick University (link)

Three Branches of Financial Crisis Theory (Goldstein and Razin)

Ten years ago Wednesday, Aug. 9, 2007,  French bank BNP Paribas blocked withdrawals from hedge funds that specialized in U.S. mortgage debt. That Aug. 9, 2007, marked the beginning of a credit crisis that caused investment bank Lehman Brothers to collapse a year later and usher in the Great Recession of 2007-09.

1. Understanding Global Financial Crises: An Emerging Paradigm,

by Assaf Razin

MIT PRESS,

December 2014 (link)

Book's Narrative (link)

Financial crises have some common storylines, among them bursting asset bubbles, bank failures, sharp tightening of credit, and downturn in trade. They are also different from one another. Some start with sudden reversal of international capital flows, others with domestic credit implosions. A challenge to economic research is to integrate common as well as disparate threads into a coherent analytical framework that is at the same time empirically testable. In Understanding Global Crises: an emerging paradigm, I offer a review of an emerging macroeconomic paradigm incorporating failure-prone financial intermediaries, that is consistent with the key features of recent global financial crises. To be self ccontained, the book also presents in a transparent way basic analytical elements of the theories of financial and monetary and currency crises.

Contents:

1 Introduction

Part I Recent History of Financial Crises
2 The 1990s and the Early 2000s
3 The 2008 Global Crisis
4 The Crisis in the Euro -Zone
Part II Elements of the Theory of Financial Crises
5 Analytics of Financial Fragility of Banks
6 Analytics of Credit Frictions and Capital Market Freezes7 Analytics of Asset Bubbles and CrisesPart III Exchange Rates and Capital Flows
8 Analytics of Currency Crises
9 Foreign Investment and Debt: Information Asymmetry
10 Foreign Investment in the Presence of Liquidity ShocksPart IV An Emerging Macroeconomic Paradigm: Financial Intermediaries, and Credit Frictions
11 Inflation-Output Trade-off with Frictionl-Less CreditThe Benchmark Paradigm
12 Leveraging, De-lLeveraging and the Liquidity Trap
13 Amplification and Persistency of Shocks in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

14. Epilogue

Endorsements:

Assaf Razin provides here the definitive introduction and overview of the historical and analytical literatures on financial crises. Students new to the subject and specialists alike will appreciate the crystal clear exposition. Razin's book is the obvious starting point for all those concerned to understand risks to financial stability. And, given recent events, 'all those concerned' is likely to connote a very large number. (Barry Eichengreen, George C. Pardee and Helen N. Pardee Professor of Economics and Political Science, University of California, Berkeley).

The global financial crisis shook the foundations of macroeconomic theory: what had we missed? In this book, Professor Razin opens an illuminating door on the post-crisis world and painstakingly builds the foundations of a post-crisis paradigm. A must-read for anybody who wants to go beyond the stylized facts and begin to understand the why and how of global financial crises. Carlos A. Vegh, Fred H. Sanderson Professor of International Economics, Johns Hopkins University).

Assaf Razin has performed a real tour de force: blending historical study with rigorous theoretical analysis; presenting a vast and penetrating overview of the literature on financial crises; developing a new macroeconomic paradigm in which financial intermediaries play a major role, and in which asset and debt accumulation matters. All in one book. Thanks to Assaf Razin's book, doing macroeconomics is interesting again. (Paul De Grauwe, John Paulson Chair in European Political Economy, London School of Economics and Political Science).

Understanding Global Crises is an impressive book. The thoughtful and accessible analysis of the financial crises in the last 25 years in the first chapters will be extremely useful for the layperson interested in crises. The elegant modeling of the financial frictions predating these crises in the last chapters will also attract the expert. A must-read! (Graciela L. Kaminsky, Professor of Economics and International Affairs, George Washington University).

Book Review: Francesco Bianchi (link) Doyle (link)

 

2. Migration States and Welfare States: Why is America Different from Europe?

by

Assaf Razin and, Efraim Sadka

Palgrave-MacMillan Pivot, November 20, 2014 (link)

 

We argue that the looser federal nature of the economic union in the EU, relative to the U.S.'s (that is, the EU member states compete one against the other, whereas the US member states are constitutionally under a Federal regime which coordinates their policies); and the relatively more aged population contribute a great deal to our understanding of the welfare-state and migration policy differences (video).

    Book review: Ethan Ilzetzki, (2016) in the Israel Economic Review Vol. 14, No. 1 (2016), 129-133

 

3. Migration and the Welfare State
Political-Economy Policy Formation
Assaf Razin Efraim Sadka and Benjarung Suwankiri
MIT Press (2011)
Income groups' conflicting interests, and intergenerational conflicts, are behind immigration policy. A unified theoretical formal framework for studying how political economy coallition are formed, and a range of policy regimes are implemented. Topics include: The differences between free and policy-controlled migration, the effect of migration on the generosity of the welfare state, the effect of aging of the population, fiscal competition and competition over the skill mix of immigrants,and the dynamics of the political-economy policy formation concerning the interactions between the welfare state and migration.

Menashe Kadishman

Book review: Sharun W Mukand, Journal of Economic Literature 2012, 50(3), 791-794 (pdf).
Book Review: Johann Harnos and Hillel Rapoport, Israel Economic Review (IsER) Vol 11, No.1, April 2014
http://www.boi.org.il/en/Research/Periodicals/Documents/11ISER5.pdf
Book Review: Alexander Kemnitz J.Econ, 107: 191-193 (2012), Springer Werlag
http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00712-012-0289-1
Book Review: Mathias Sinning
Economic Record Volume 89, Issue 286, SEP 2013
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1475-4932.12070/pdf

4.  Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows

(Princeton University Press, 2007)

 

Jerusalem in art

 

Book Reviews:
K.P. Kimbrough, Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows by Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka. International Review of Economics and Finance 2009. http://www.arts.cornell.edu/econ/arazin/kimbroughFDIBOOKreview.pdf

Kathrin Russ, The New Theory of Foreign Direct Investment (Review of Multinational Firms and the Theory of International Trade by Jim Markusen and Foreign Direct Investment: A Theory of Aggregate Flows by Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka, for the journal International Finance, 2009 text

Laura Alfaro, Review of Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows, Journal of Economic Literature, March 2009, text.

SebnemKalemli-Ozcan, Book Review, Israel Economic Review,Vol 9, No 2 (2012), 1-3 (text)

David Hendler Menase Kadishman

 

5. Economic Policy in the International Economy: Essays in Honor of Assaf Razin 

Festschrift international gathering in Tel Aviv, 2001.

Edited by Elhanan Helpman, Efraim Sadka   (Cambridge University Press, 2002)

Part I. Financial Issues in Open Economies: Theory: 1. Crises: the next generation? Paul Krugman;(link) 2. Solutions to the ‘devaluation bias’: some preventive measures to defend fixed exchange rates against self-fulfilling attacks Chi-Wa Yuen; 3. Growth enhancing effects of bailout guarantees Aaron Tornell; 4. Risk and exchange rates Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth S. Rogoff; Part II. Financial Issues in Open Economies: Empirics: 5. Economic integration, industrial specialization, and the asymmetry of macroeconomic fluctuations Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent E. Sorenson and Oved Yosha; 6. Uncovered interest parity in crisis: the interest rate defense in the 1990s Robert P. Flood and Andrew K. Rose; 7. When does capital account liberalization help more than it hurts? Carlos Arteta, Barry Eichengreen and Charles Wyplosz; 8. Sources of inflation in developing countries Prakash Loungani and Phillip Swagel; Part III. Economic Growth: Theory and Empirics: 9. Growth effects and the cost of business cycles Gadi Barlevy; 10. Explaining economic growth Yair Mundlak; Part IV. Public Economies: 11. Simulating fundamental tax reform in the United States David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Kent A. Smetters and Jan Walliser; 12. The international macroeconomics of taxation and the case against European tax harmonization Enrique G. Mendoza; 13. Home bias in portfolios and taxation of asset income Roger H. Gordon and Vitor Gaspar; 14. Social dumping in the transformation process; Part V. Political Economy: 15. Do political institutions shape economic policy? Torsten Persson. 

Crises: https://sapir.tau.ac.il/sites/economy.tau.ac.il/files/media_server/Economics/Sapir/conferences/Krugman.pdf

The book Conference (IMF Survey, April 16, 2001, page 129) 
 

6. The Decline of The Welfare State: Demography and Globalization-- MIT Press 2004

(Hebrew Slide, English Slide)

Book Download (link)

Book Reviews:
Ortega F ECONOMICS OF TRANSITION 14 (2): 413-415 2006
Kimbrough K JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE 44 (1): 184-186 MAR 2006
Beltrametti L JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 87 (2): 195-197 MAR 2006
Hicks, Alex, Governance, An International Journal of Policy and Administration, Vol 20, Issue 2, pp. 359-71, 2007
Nicole Wolfe, Journal of World System Research, Vol 12, Num 2 ( December 2006)
Catia Montanga Economica, Volume 74, Issue 296, Novemember 2007

7. Labor, Capital and Finance: International Flows
by 
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

Cambridge University Press 2002

Book download

(pdf) (text)

(link)

Book Reviews:
Wright MLJ JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE 42 (2): 524-525 JUN 2004 (text)
Lane P WORLD ECONOMY 25 (10): 1525-1525 NOV 2002 (Word File)

Publisher's release ,JEL, Amazon.com
Introduction
Preface
Table of Contents
Chapter 1, (Figures:1,2
Chapter 6
Chapter 7, (Figures:,1,2)

text

Haim Kiewe


8. A Theory of International Trade Under Uncertainty

 

Academic Press, Harcourt Brace Jovanovitch, 1978

by

Elhanan Helpman and Assaf Razin

(FullText)

Book Reviews:
NEARY JP ECONOMICA 48 (189): 101-102 1981
POMERY J JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY 88 (5): 1061-1064 1980
COES DV JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS 10 (3): 445-448 1980
ANDERSON JE JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE 18 (1): 148-149 1980
HITIRIS T ECONOMIC JOURNAL 90 (357): 185-187 1980

Yosl Bergner

9. Fiscal Policies and the World Economy: Intertemporal Approach (MIT Press 1987 ( text)

(First Edition, 1987; Second Edition, 1993.)

Fiscal Policies and Growth in the World Economy (MIT Press, Third Edition, 1996),
Preface, Contents,
The Mundell-Fleming Model:
Chapter 4, text
The Dynamics of the Current Account:
Chapter7, text.
Growth in the Global Economy:
Chapter 12, Chapter 13, Chapter 14, Chapter 15

Book download (link)

Book Reviews:

first edition (1987)
Anon JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS 19 (3): 630-630 SUM 1997
BRUCE N JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE 27 (4): 1704-1705 DEC 1989
MCCOY JPANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF POLITICAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCE 504: 168-169 JUL 1989
LEHMENT H WELTWIRTSCHAFTLICHES ARCHIV-REVIEW OF WORLD ECONOMICS 125 (2): 416-417 1989
FLOYD JE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS 26 (3-4): 392-394 MAY 1989
Second Edition (1992):
WRENLEWIS S WORLD ECONOMY 17 (5): 782-782 SEP 1994

10. Population Economics

Population Economics (MIT Press, 1995), with Efraim Sadka

Book download (link)

Book Reviews:
Wildasin DE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND CULTURAL CHANGE 45 (4): 932-938 JUL 1997
Blanchet D JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS-ZEITSCHRIFT FUR NATIONALOKONOMIE 64 (2): 221-223 1996
Jackson WA ECONOMIC JOURNAL 106 (439): 1812-1813 NOV 1996

11. International Taxation in an Integrated World


(MIT Press, 1992), with Jacob Frenkel and Efraim Sadka

text, (pdf)

Book download (link)

12. Current-Account Sustainability

by

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and Assaf Razin
(Princeton Studies in International Finance, No 81) Paperback (November 1996)
Princeton University, International Finance; ISBN: 0881652539

Text

see also Currency Crises
PR Krugman (ed.) 2000, Book download (link)

13. The Economy of Modern Israel

(University of Chicago Press, 1993), with Efraim Sadka

text

Yohanan Simon

EDITED BOOKS

Social Security Reform : Financial and Political Issues in International Perspective
by Robin Brooks (Editor), Assaf Razin (Editor)
Cambridge University Press 2006

Preface, Table of contents, Introduction, authors

(introduction)
(Table of Contents)

Book Reviews:
SHAUN L. YOW, Journal of Pension Economics 6:01, 2007. http://journals.cambridge.org/download.php?file=%2FPEF%2FPEF6_01%2FS1474747206282842a.pdf&code=262592bf0459172aff41ae708a1ef5e1
Taxation in the Global Economy (National Bureau of Economic Research Project Report)
by Joel Slemrod (Editor), Assaf Razin (Editor) ( Paperback - February 1, 1992) Book Download
(link)
Capital Mobility : The Impact on Consumption, Investment and Growth
by Leonardo Leiderman (Editor), Assaf Razin (Editor) ( Cambridge University Press, 1994)

International Trade and Trade Policy
by Elhanan Helpman (Editor), Assaf Razin (Editor) ( MIT Press, 1991); Book download (link)

International Finance and Financial Crises : Essays in Honor of Robert P. Flood, Jr, Edited by Peter Isard, Assaf Razin, and Andy Rose , Kluwer Academic Publishers (2000)

Optimum Currency Areas: New Analytical and Policy Developments , Edited by Mario Blejer, Leonardo Leiderman and Assaf Razin, IMF, 1997; 
A pre-Nobel Award Festschrift for Robert Mundell's "optimum currency area" paper

Capital Mobility: The Impact on Consumption, Investment and Growth by Leonardo Leiderman and Assaf Razin ( Paperback)

The Economics of Globalization: Policy Perspectives from Public Economics by Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka ( Paperback) -

Taxation in the Global Economy by Assaf Razin and Joel Slemrod, The University of Chicago

Development in an Inflationary World by M. June Flanders/ Assaf Razin ( Paperback - 1981)

 



I.  A Graduate Course in International Macroeconomics: Integrating International Macroeconomics and Financial Crises  
Introduction

The 2008 financial crisis (pdf), Two Camps in Macroeconomics (ppt), Euro Crisis (ppt), Syllabus (doc, pdf)

  I. International Financial Crises

Review of Theories of Financial Crises (draft) (slides), Leverage Bubbles(pdf)

The Great Depression vs. The Current Crisis ( ppt )

Currency and Financial Crises of the 1990s and 2000s docx

First-Generation Currency Crises Models 

Fixed Exchange Rate under Interest Parity, first-generation crisis ,

Fixed Exchange Rate Without Interest Parity,

Second-Generation Crises Models, Unique equilibrium? Game  Theory, Banking/Debt Crises (ppt), notes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8

Third-Generation Crises Models 

The balance-sheet effect in financial crisis, balance shhet effect in a closed economy , (book review), Financial Fragility (doc)

Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regimes (Econ Policy, currency pegs 2007)(pdf) (word) (Non linearity table) (presentation China) (Box 1: tex, pdf) (Box 2: tex, pdf) (Figure) (Revised Tables and Figures) (tex)(pdf) (slide1) (slide2) (Figures and Tables)

Exchange-Rate Regimes (pdf)

Informational Cascades and Rational Bubbles (link, Housing Bubble)

Bank Runs and Capital Flows 

Caballero-Krishnamurty: Flight for Quality (link, Burnside slides)

Bank Runs, Capital Flow Reversals, Credit-Rating Crunches (Figure

Slides (pdf, tex) Allen and Gale (slides), (ii) More on Currency Crises and Financial Crises

First-Generation Currency Crises Fixed Exchange Rate With and Without Interest Parity,

Currency Crises Models with Endogenous central bank policies, Unique equilibrium ? Game  Theory , Banking/Debt Crises ( ppt ), notes: 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 6 , 7 , 8

Balance-Sheet Crises Models 

The balance-sheet effect in financial crisis,

balance shhet effect in a closed economy

Evaluation of Exchange Rate Regimes in the presence of Liquidity Crises ( Econ Policy, currency pegs 2007 ) ( pdf ) ( word ) Exchange-Rate Regimes ( pdf )

 

Informational Cascades and Rational Bubbles ( link , Housing Bubble )

Bank Runs and Capital Flows: Flight for Quality

( link , slides ) Bank Runs, Capital Flow Reversals, Credit-Rating Crunches ( Figure )  Slides ( pdf , tex , slides )

 

II. Textbook Neo-Classical Open-economy Macroeconomics

1. Inflation 

Inflation and Money Growth, seigniorage,

2 Exchange Rate  

Flexible Exchange Rate

 

III. The Mundell-Fleming Model

Slides: The Mundell-Fleming Model 

IV. The New-Keynesian Macroeconomics  

 

The Flexible Price Benchmark

Aggregate Supply Under Price Rigidity

Equilibrium under Flexible and Rigid Prices

Utility-based loss function (Preliminaries )

Utility-Based loss function: Globalization

Liquidity trap and delevaraging (link)

Loglinearization

Krugman on liquidity trap

Liquidity trap

The Liquidity Trap and Expectations, more

Fiscal Policy under liquidity trap

Geneal Equilibrium and Interest Rule ( doc)

Naive vs Quadratic LQoptimazation ( doc )

Linear Quadratic Approximation ( pdf )

Homeworks: 1 , 2 , 3

globalization and inflation ( Slides, pdf , word )

Jordi Gali's notes( 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 )

(vi) The Dynamics of the current- and capital- account of the balance of payments 

(a) Consumption-Smoothing current account balance Dynamics ( PPT )

(b) Dynamics of Savings in a small open economy ,

(c) Current Account Stochastic Dynamics,

(d) Portfolio View of Capital Flows ( slides ), Home works

Basics: 1 , 2 ,   3 ; New Keynesian Macro: Homeworks: 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ( word ), 5 ( word ), 6 ( word ) , 7 ( word ); and More Home works.

 

 
May be art May be art

Works by Assaf Razin

  1. Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows: Co-authored with Efraim Sadka, this book provides a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing FDI and its economic impacts.
  2. Understanding Global Crises: An Emerging Paradigm: This book explores the role of global financial integration, including FDI, in financial crises and economic stability.
  3. International Taxation in an Integrated World: This work examines how international tax policies influence FDI and the implications for global economic integration.