Lecturer: Saharon
Rosset
Schreiber 022
Office hours: Sunday 16-18 (by email coordination only)
Home page: http://www.tau.ac.il/~saharon/StatisticsSeminar.htm
The goals of the seminar are:
·
Experience independent learning and dealing
with scientific texts
·
Develop critical thinking in dealing with
such texts
·
Gain experience in organizing material and
presenting it to an audience
The seminar will combine several types of
material: In the first part, we will read "general interest" articles
analyzing topics in sports, society, education etc.; in the second part we will
read and present chapters from a book or parts of a bigger and more difficult
article.
Each student
will choose an article and present it in class (it is possible to suggest other
articles as well):
1.
Robert Vallone, Amos Tversky and Thomas
Gilovich. (1985). The
hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive
Psychology, Volume 17, Issue 3, July 1985, Pages 295–314.
(לביא 1.11)
2.
Robert L. Wardrop. (1995). Simpson's Paradox and the
Hot Hand in Basketball. The American Statistician , Vol. 49, No. 1 (Feb.,
1995), pp. 24-28. (לינוי
29.11)
3. Rachel Croson and James Sundali. (2005). The Gambler’s
Fallacy and the Hot Hand: Empirical Data from Casinos. Journal of Risk and
Uncertainty Volume 30, Number 3, 195-209. (אמיר 8.11)
4.
Ira Horowitz and Jim Lackritz. (2013). The
Value of s at Which a Major League Player with Multiple Hitting Streaks of at
Least s Games Might Be Termed ‘Streak Prone’. Chance, Vol. 26, No. 3, pp.
26-33. (טל אייל 29.11)
5. Walter R. Mebane. (2010). Fraud
in the 2009 presidential election in Iran? Chance, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp.
6-15. (אין
צורך להציג את כל הניתוחים מהמאמר הארוך יחסית) (מנדל
15.11)
6.
David Spiegelhalter, Stuart Knight and Tony
Sant. (2012). Breast
implants: The scandal, the outcry, and assessing the risks. Significance,
Vol. 9, Issue 6, 17-21.
(אדר כחלון 15.11/22.11)
7. David Rockoff and Heike Hofmann. (2011). How
good is your eyeballing? Chance, Vol. 24, No. 2, pp. 35-45.
8. Rebecca E. Trempel, Sergey Y. Kyrychenko and
Matthew J. Moore. (2011). Does
banning hand-held cell phone use while driving reduce collisions? Chance,
Vol. 24, No. 2, pp. 6-11.
(נופר 8.11/15.11)
9.
Daniel Guzmán. (2011). Speaking
stats to justice: Expert testimony in a guatemalan human rights trial based on
statistical sampling. Chance, Vol. 24, No. 3, pp. 23-29. (ערן טולדנו)
10. Roland C. Deutsch. (2011). Looking
Back at South Africa: Analyzing and Reviewing the 2010 FIFA World Cup.
Chance, Vol. 24, No. 2, pp. 15-23.
(רוי 15.11)
11. Stephen Marks and Gary Smith. (2011). The
two-child paradox reborn? Chance, Vol. 24, No. 3, pp. 54-59.(נגה רמות 22.11)
12. John W. Emerson and Taylor B. Arnold. (2011).
Statistical Sleuthing by Leveraging
Human Nature: A Study of Olympic Figure Skating. The American Statistician
Vol. 65, No. 3: 143–148.
13. Jean-François Plante and Nancy Reid.
(2011). Statistics
in the News. The American Statistician May 2011, Vol. 65, No. 2: 80–88. (להציג ארבעה נושאים מסעיפים 3,4
במאמר) (יובל בן אריה)
14. Marcello Pagano and Sarah Anoke. (2013). Mommy's Baby,
Daddy's Maybe: A Closer Look at Regression to the Mean. Chance, Vol. 26,
No. 3, pp. 4-9.(אייל
אסיף 1.11)
15. Donald A. Redelmeier and Christopher J.
Yarnell. (2013). Can Tax
Deadlines Cause Fatal Mistakes? Chance, Vol. 26, No. 2, pp. 8-14. (קארין כהן 8.11)
16. Jonathan L. Wilson. (2013). Prediction
Markets: How Accurate Are They? Chance, Vol. 25, No. 4, pp. 32-38. (ויולה 22.11)
Chapters
from the book "An Introduction to the Bootstrap" by Efron and
Tibshirani
1.
Class presentations (two per student); 90% of
grade,
Criteria for grading:
·
Understanding the topic and content of the
article
·
Separating the important content from the
less relevant parts
·
Critical reading, identifying gaps and errors
·
Understanding the technical
content and its relation to previous courses in statistics
·
Clear, accurate and well organized
presentation
·
(Potential bonus) Presenting well
in English
2.
Active participation in other students'
presentations: 10%
·
At most 3 absences allowed during the semester
(best to let me know about any absence)