November 30
 
"Cognitive Dissonance and Conformity: A Dynamic of Increasing Consumption and Business Cycles" 
Arad Nir
Abstract 
Cognitive dissonance causes people to rationalize their actions under certain circumstances. When individuals' actual consumption is a random variable distributed around their optimal consumption they might rationalize their utility function so that their optimal consumption equals their actual consumption. This essay investigates the consequences of a flexible utility function that alters via rationalization with the added feature of conformity. The main results are: 
1) Optimal consumption will be unstable and scatter in time. 2) Consumption bounded from underneath will tend to grow. 3) When individuals are conformists, consumption bounded from underneath will grow in a business cycle path.